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For example, there are rumors that a new Nvidia card will come out in 2 months. This is not for sure, there are always wild rumors and most of the time they are bunk. But even if it were true, Nvidia always launches the flagship first. So we may wait another 2 or 3 months for a mid or low range version of the chip. This is not guaranteed, but a safe assumption. So, even in the most optimistic of this rumor/assumption, the RTX 4060 card would be coming out in November. But inventory is typically low, at first, and it will be a hot card everyone wants to buy. So there will be scalpers, the price will be inflated, and there is no idea when it will come down to MSRP. But let's make another assumtion, that inventory will pick up after 2 months and the price will go down. So now we are in January of 2023, and this is with the optimistic prediction. We still don't know if crypto will come back within that timeframe (unlikely, but there is a chance). We don't know how the economy will change, if inflation flies up, or the stock market crashes, or any other event that might make $500 today cost you $1,000 next year. We don't know if there will be manufacturer defects or bad batches (this has frequently happened with Nvidia in the recent years). There are just so many unknowns, and even in the best case scenario, if all those risks went in your favor, you still have to wait until next year, rather than buy a card today and have it in your computer in 3 days. This is why I say that basing purchases on rumors and speculation is always a mistake.